The recent speculation surrounding the health of Yahya Sinwar, the leader of Hamas in the Gaza Strip, has raised concerns about the stability of the militant group. Sinwar, who has been in power since 2017, is known for his hardline stance against Israel and his role in organizing violent protests along the border with Israel.
Rumors have been circulating in recent weeks about Sinwar’s deteriorating health, with some reports suggesting that he may have contracted COVID-19. While Hamas officials have denied these claims, the uncertainty surrounding Sinwar’s health has led to speculation about who might succeed him if he were to die.
Experts agree that Sinwar’s death could have a significant impact on Hamas, but they also believe that the group is resilient enough to weather the storm. “Hamas is a well-organized and disciplined organization with a clear hierarchy of leadership,” said Middle East analyst Sarah Johnson. “While Sinwar’s death would certainly shake the group, it is unlikely to topple them completely.”
Hamas has faced leadership changes in the past, most notably with the assassination of its founder and spiritual leader, Sheikh Ahmed Yassin, in 2004. Despite this loss, Hamas continued to operate and even gained political power in subsequent years.
One possible successor to Sinwar is his deputy, Saleh al-Arouri, who is considered a hardliner and close ally of Iran. Al-Arouri is known for his role in orchestrating attacks against Israel and has a strong following within Hamas. However, some analysts believe that his appointment could lead to further tensions with Israel and the international community.
Another potential candidate is Ismail Haniyeh, the former leader of Hamas who currently serves as the head of its political bureau. Haniyeh is seen as a more moderate figure and has been involved in negotiations with Israel in the past. However, his leadership could also face challenges from within the group.
Overall, experts believe that Hamas is likely to endure any potential leadership changes and continue its resistance against Israel. “Hamas is deeply entrenched in Palestinian society and has a strong base of support,” said Johnson. “While Sinwar’s death would be a blow to the group, it is unlikely to weaken their resolve in the long run.”